Bank of America resets Nvidia stock forecast after major event

I concluded last year with two in-depth articles about Nvidia. I thought when I was writing “What’s next for Nvidia stock in 2026” that there wouldn’t be news about Nvidia for a while.

Then, Nvidia completed its investment in Intel, and I wrote “Nvidia makes good on a key promise of 2025,” a detailed analysis of that collaboration.

At that point I thought that January would be quiet, but I was very wrong.

Nvidia decided to go all out with its announcements during CES. It almost seems that the company may have nothing to reveal during its own GTC conference in March.

The company has gone so far as to unveil its next generation of GPUs – Vera Rubin, which is something it usually saves for GTC.

Why the rush? Is the bubble about to burst, or is AMD’s Helios rack system, which is also set to launch this year, putting pressure on Nvidia?

I think it’s AMD’s Helios and Google’s TPUs that have made Nvidia shift gears, and it shows.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang believes "the ChatGPT moment for physical AI is here."Shutterstock-Glen Photo” loading=”eager” height=”540″ width=”960″ class=”yf-lglytj loader”/>
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang believes that “the ChatGPT moment for physical AI is here.”Shutterstock-Glen Photo

Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya and his team attended Nvidia’s (NVDA) CES 2026 keynote and financial analyst Q&A session on January 5. After the event, they updated their opinion on NVDA stock in a research note shared with TheStreet.

The team said that Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang noted that the “very high” demand for AI computers continues, and announced the new Vera Rubin AI platform.

  • AI scaling remains on track, with five times token generation and 10 times cost reduction per year.

  • Six new AI chips have been announced for the Vera Rubin platform, planned for the second half of 2026.

  • The company unveiled a new platform for storing context memory at the pod level.

  • Nvidia continues to lead every single major LLM today.

  • AI will be funded by the modernization of AI and the shift of R&D methods.

  • The Groq/SRAM deal can be beneficial for extremely low latency workloads.

  • AI is expanding beyond LLMs, into physical AI.

  • China’s H200 demand is there, but still waiting for licenses.

An informed and careful reader will notice that the team of analysts must have ignored the fact that Google Gemini 3 was trained and is working on Google’s own TPUs, as reported by CNBC.

The team said Nvidia’s continued dominance in the AI ​​computing, networking system and ecosystem is trading at about a 19 multiple price-to-earnings ratio, or in line with the broader S&P 500 index, despite superior EPS CAGR, greater than 35% and above 40% free cash flow.

Arya reiterated a buy rating and a target price of $275, based on 28 times its estimate for the price-to-earnings ratio excluding cash for calendar year 2027, which is within Nvidia’s historical forward-year price-to-earnings range of 25 to 56.

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